I have decided to have fewer opinions. I used to have lots of opinions in the eighties. For example, Morrisey of The Smiths whined too much, Salman Rushdie's novels were incomprehensible, the Space Shuttle was a cost effective way of launching satellites, that sort of thing. Then I found that having an opinion based on what I read in, say, the Daily Mail, was not a solidly defendable one.
Then I saw a UFO. I had an opinion on UFOs, naturally. My opinion was that they were definitely real metal craft from distant planets. The books I read told me so. Why wouldn't I believe von Danikan? Because he wasn't telling the truth, that's why. Because he misrepresented solid research, cherry picked his information and presented ifs and buts as certainties. But I saw a UFO and it changed my perspective.
The reason was remarkably simple. I stood and watched this bright white dot move across the sky for several minutes before it disappeared from view. What could it have possibly been? A tin vessel from Alpha Centauri? Something a bit more significant, ready to come down and play its ice cream jingle for me in my third kind encounter? No, what changed my mind was thinking about what I had seen, really seen.
I had seen a light, no shape or detail. It did not blink or flicker and it disappeared suddenly. Perhaps it was an aircraft, but those had navigation lights. It was too slow for a meteor. Perhaps it was a satellite. Yes, that was it, and some research in the local library told me it was true.
Now this shouldn't really be a big deal but it was the first time I had found something out like that for myself, using my grey matter and research rather than accept the simple and entertaining, but wrong, answer. It wasn't what I hoped for that mattered, it was what reality provides.
I was reminded of that by a comment by Victor Vermena over at WUWT which was snipped by the moderator because, presumably, it didn't meet the biased and slanted views of the deniers over there. Snipping the comment, which I read before it was snipped and didn't seem slanted to me, won't change reality. This is boy standing on burning deck attitude, the band plays on but the ship still sinks. Reality won't help so let's try and avoid it.
A real skeptic will have a look, at least, to see if there is something in the comment, and the blog it linked to, and make up their mind. A fake skeptic knows in advance. A fake skeptic is sure what is true and what isn't before they read up on the subject. A fake skeptic looks for evidence to support, a real skeptic looks for evidence for and against.
My wife gets irritated when I put so many conditional statements around virtually anything I say that I am sure the only reason she doesn't divorce me is that she couldn't face the defence I would put up. But I do it because I know that there are uncertainties and errors and all sorts of reasons not to be entirely sure of something that to say so becomes unreal. I can't help being skeptical. I want to check everything and the more outlandish the claim, the more I want to check it. And if someone says something that contradicts so much well established science, I have to check it. And usually the claim turns into vapours.
But being a skeptic is tiring. There's all the googling of facts, papers, blogs by experts, to be done. I'd rather just know in advance, have more opinions. So if someone knows where I too can get a slanted mind like the deniers, then please let me know in the comments.
It's easy to have the slanted mind of a denier.
ReplyDeleteAll you have to do is do what you have already suggested. Keep reading wattsupmybutt and stop reading science, looking at evidence and questioning things.
Relax. Take it easy. There is no climate change. It's a conspiracy by scientists and it's all natural.
" I am sure the only reason she doesn't divorce me is that she couldn't face the defence I would put up. "
ReplyDeleteVery wise your wife. Probably wiser than you.
Could you have seen ball lightening? You can see them on Youtube. All of the Youtube lightening videos are truly astonishing.
You already have a slanted mind, if you want one like the deniers you merely need to be a 'Doubting Thomas'. Doubtful of everything one hears. The deniers are all skeptical of everything they hear, they need an inordinate amount of evidence to sway them, and they smell politics hiding as science a mile away.
BTW, I was banned from Greg Ladens Science blog, since I disagreed with his opinions he said I was a science denier and banned me. I deny climate alarmism only, I do not deny science. I am employed in science, I work with scientists everyday. I laugh when I get banned, it tells me I've gotten under their skin, that I've won.
klem
Klem, you said "You already have a slanted mind, if you want one like the deniers you merely need to be a 'Doubting Thomas'. Doubtful of everything one hears. The deniers are all skeptical of everything they hear, they need an inordinate amount of evidence to sway them, and they smell politics hiding as science a mile away."
ReplyDeleteYes, I have a slanted mind, as, I believe, does everyone. What I jokingly complain about above is the fact that being properly skeptical is hard work because you do keep checking facts and evidence. Doubting Thomas is not the right term here - I can quite happily believe in the existence of electrons, or that man landed on the Moon, or that Lee Harvey Oswald shot JFK without direct personal experience of those things. Doubting Thomas is an extreme version of skepticism.
Your portrayal of deniers all being skeptical of everything they hear is, frankly, not supported by the evidence from WUWT and other sites. The so called skeptics there, and you are one of them, swallow hole the claims of Eschenbach, Tisdale, Spencer, Monckton et al without checking, without critically examining what they are saying. If they were skeptical in the proper sense of the word then they would question and the authors of the blog posts would be willing to listen to those comments and questions and answer them in a constructive way. You know that doesn't happen. There is nothing skeptical about the moajority of commenters on WUWT. When people like Nick Stokes, Jai, Ryan, Margaret Hardman Victor Venema and others make comments that question or correct posts, they get abused. You know that but you claim they are true skeptics. Please don't make me laugh.
I asked you before what your science background is. I can understand if you don't want to tell me but it would be nice if you did. My background is biology, specialising in evolution and palaeontology, with twenty years studying the philosophy of science on top. It is not unknown for scientists, for example, to be totally mistaken about areas of science that they have not studied or chosen to ignore. Just look at those scientists who have signed up for the Intelligent Design scam (and we have proof that is a scam, invented and then supported by the Discovery Institute).
You can smell politics all you like. Please don't confuse actual politics for actual science.